TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Flyers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07c8…2696backed Flyers36c13,571$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,696.47844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Canucks64c9,920$6,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,348.82,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Canucks68c6,448$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.776855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers33c4,436$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.931,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers33c2,704$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.8579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Canucks68c2,400$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6328453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks64c1,917$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.481,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Flyers34c1,530$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.813049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks64c1,401$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.61,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Canucks67c1,210$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.761959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canucks64c1,093$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.521,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed Flyers72c952.06$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Flyers33c599$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.331,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Canucks4c531.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.184330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Canucks4c509.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.882,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers31c455.14$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.051,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Canucks16c357$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Canucks69c294$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.864967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Flyers32c215$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.872356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Flyers30c214.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.442133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Canucks8c202.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae33…27dabacked Flyers32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+145.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Canucks16c170.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.718262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Flyers32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.258647.7%41 W · 45 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Canucks70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10581157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Canucks70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Flyers79c117$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5717247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Flyers32c112.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.41,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Canucks69c103$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.072944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d89…ff81backed Canucks69c101$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Flyers32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6854132.7%177 W · 364 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Canucks69c90$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.14351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Flyers33c86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.625451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Flyers31c85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.654860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Canucks64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4827445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Flyers31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.36150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Flyers33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Flyers33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.25474.1%40 W · 14 L+11.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Flyers33c56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.526165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Flyers32c55.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Canucks68c55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.447944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Canucks65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.513453%71 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Flyers30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351675%12 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Flyers31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Flyers31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Flyers31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Flyers31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Canucks67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Flyers31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Canucks68c49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.324259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Flyers32c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Flyers32c46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.289045.6%41 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Canucks65c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2525435.4%90 W · 164 L-22.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Canucks69c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Flyers35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8622543.1%97 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Canucks69c42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Flyers31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Flyers31c38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.222965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Flyers30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.219647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Canucks69c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Canucks68c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Canucks69c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Flyers32c32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.761637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Flyers32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.256734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Canucks69c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.392352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Flyers36c30.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2718452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed Canucks69c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Canucks69c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Canucks69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Canucks69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Canucks67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Canucks67c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks66c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.912,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Canucks70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412735.4%45 W · 82 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Canucks69c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Canucks69c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Canucks69c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Canucks67c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Canucks67c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Canucks69c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Canucks69c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Canucks67c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.