NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac45d455203740973931c0e54a17db7a3e75f7fdc0104d20d459d5d7119168ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 55c | 53,982$29,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,291.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Clippers | 45c | 53,482$24,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,066.72 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 44c | 3,569$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Clippers | 46c | 1,008$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Grizzlies | 54c | 890$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Grizzlies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Grizzlies | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Clippers | 43c | 105.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 43c | 75.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 49c | 60.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Clippers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Clippers | 45c | 48.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Grizzlies | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 56c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 30.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 45c | 22.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.