NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69520d64fd2639b8c4d10214ba093dc84223be21693b10ee9ad197b7db4fe5ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Clippers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 51c | 126,013$63,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,171.1 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Clippers | 49c | 82,617$40,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,482.5 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Clippers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 9,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Clippers | 49c | 7,282$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers | 50c | 6,150$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…7cb8backed Clippers | 1c | 3,540$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 3,130$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.82 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,967$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 49c | 1,839$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.83 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers | 49c | 1,523$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.25 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 50c | 1,496$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clippers | 51c | 1,430$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,407$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.41 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 48c | 1,317$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Clippers | 49c | 513.67$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 488.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Clippers | 51c | 449.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 50c | 322.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Clippers | 49c | 205.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…05d5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 32c | 155.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Clippers | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 48c | 146.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 47c | 129.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Clippers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Clippers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Clippers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grizzlies | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 49c | 79.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Grizzlies | 63c | 72.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…813dbacked Clippers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Clippers | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Clippers | 49c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers | 46c | 46.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Clippers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Clippers | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Clippers | 50c | 38.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Grizzlies | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Grizzlies | 55c | 34.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 33.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Clippers | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Clippers | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Clippers | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Grizzlies | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Grizzlies | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…0b5dbacked Clippers | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Clippers | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e722backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…ce94backed Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. ClippersGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.