TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

North Carolina vs. NC State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NC Stateof North Carolina, NC State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed NC State73c34,257$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,257.1619362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed NC State72c15,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed North Carolina27c13,626$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina28c11,265$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.2516234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked North Carolina27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7003540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked North Carolina28c5,128$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.715751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked North Carolina28c3,884$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.5281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked North Carolina29c2,975$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked NC State71c2,791$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.323056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina26c2,346$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed North Carolina27c2,039$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.657133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed North Carolina28c2,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed NC State73c1,858$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.533360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed North Carolina29c1,800$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.334529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed North Carolina28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed North Carolina28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42024348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed North Carolina28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina27c1,325$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.652,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed NC State71c870$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.32445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed North Carolina27c805.56$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.565945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbf…4dddbacked North Carolina14c794.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-83.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina28c751.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5638450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed North Carolina27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18925629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked North Carolina27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed North Carolina28c550$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15413531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina10c511.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed NC State72c507.97$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2320757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NC State71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…4009backed NC State73c406.85$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.851060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed NC State74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed NC State71c345$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0510753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Carolina27c320.57$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4522030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked North Carolina5c304.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NC State72c276.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3713444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina26c237.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5240244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed North Carolina9c215.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked North Carolina27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed North Carolina27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.356844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed North Carolina28c183$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2428440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed NC State79c165.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked North Carolina10c144.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.455223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked North Carolina27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.881827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed North Carolina28c140.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed NC State72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8910664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…50ffbacked NC State73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina14c135$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed NC State72c123$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina28c121.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0954243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed North Carolina29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…c9f0backed NC State72c87.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3205…d8ccbacked NC State73c81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d8…0b7dbacked NC State75c77.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed NC State72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fb…752cbacked NC State74c65.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a3…9e9bbacked NC State73c56.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked NC State73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7918868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed North Carolina27c50.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.646046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed North Carolina28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed North Carolina28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed North Carolina28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x379e…01e6backed NC State74c48.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+88.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfac…7c8fbacked North Carolina28c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a73…9daabacked NC State72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.674660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3c…ef9dbacked NC State72c40.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked North Carolina27c40.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed North Carolina27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x137b…2fd5backed North Carolina29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed North Carolina27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1860…cea4backed NC State73c38.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+76.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…cb66backed North Carolina28c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed NC State73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253574.3%26 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…6d0fbacked NC State73c28.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834d…fc02backed NC State72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked NC State73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed NC State73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42080%16 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434c…a1b7backed NC State73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47aa…09e9backed NC State73c24.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f0…b74abacked NC State72c23.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed NC State73c23.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.291369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e3…39f0backed NC State73c20.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.624252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…dfd3backed NC State73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.554175.6%31 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.