Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b551588b306e8371575be9b57f683f0e90004dd0042342e1f7772f837adf45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 25,310$15,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,282.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 41c | 24,389$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,389.68 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 7,096$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 6,049$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.69 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 780$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.95 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Over | 55c | 672.73$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 644.28$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 455.95$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 345.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 53c | 326.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 61c | 241.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 54c | 136.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 41c | 100.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 83.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 59c | 67.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 64.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 45c | 52.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 59c | 29.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 23.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Over | 78c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.