Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf00922aac770d36ff7ad953f477f90e02cc0328a7739ac432fda96c71bd26bdb

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: OGof Heroic, OG
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7f76…3e05backed Heroic	46c	25,939$11,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,823.43	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed OG	55c	10,184$5,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,558.91	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed OG	52c	4,879$2,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,321.25	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Heroic	52c	4,813$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.43	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG	64c	4,510$2,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.33	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed OG	48c	3,714$1,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,933.44	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic	51c	3,533$1,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,787.33	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG	67c	3,464$2,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.29	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG	52c	2,287$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.55	410	55.6%228 W · 182 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed OG	54c	2,065$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.6	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic	47c	2,036$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.7	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Heroic	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	199	43.2%86 W · 113 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked OG	52c	1,930$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.27	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed OG	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked OG	53c	1,557$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.43	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed OG	49c	1,200$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.99	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Heroic	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed OG	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	197	43.1%85 W · 112 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed OG	52c	852.98$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.61	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Heroic	53c	676.94$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.78	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Heroic	11c	611.54$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG	51c	607.95$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.74	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Heroic	53c	563.6$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.71	269	57.6%155 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Heroic	49c	552.15$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.07	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG	50c	499.08$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.28	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic	65c	355.29$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.64	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Heroic	59c	339.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed OG	47c	320$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.6	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Heroic	11c	318.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Heroic	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Heroic	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked OG	48c	288.46$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic	34c	250$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed OG	47c	240.01$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.4	364	42.3%154 W · 210 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed OG	58c	236.95$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.35	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed Heroic	52c	232.62$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed OG	48c	229.17$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.17	101	41.6%42 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic	46c	228.43$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.14	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Heroic	30c	200$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed OG	59c	200$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed OG	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	127	55.1%70 W · 57 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked OG	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed OG	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Heroic	50c	186$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed Heroic	57c	175.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed OG	52c	171.48$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.48	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5635…3534backed OG	52c	170.15$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.14	24	91.7%22 W · 2 L	+5.7wins	+0.24per pick	68cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked OG	47c	155.35$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.9	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked OG	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Heroic	45c	153.02$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed Heroic	33c	151.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.8	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked OG	49c	147.3$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.3	95	44.2%42 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Heroic	51c	147.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Heroic	12c	144.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	240	26.7%64 W · 176 L	-30.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked OG	53c	142.45$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.45	225	38.7%87 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Heroic	49c	129.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.69	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed OG	52c	126.92$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.92	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Heroic	40c	121.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	282	44%124 W · 158 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Heroic	18c	112.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	737	43.6%321 W · 416 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed OG	49c	111.01$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Heroic	52c	102.39$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.24	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…8c9bbacked Heroic	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Heroic	53c	94.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked OG	66c	94$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.11	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed OG	55c	87.38$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.32	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG	47c	85.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.3	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed OG	47c	81.62$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Heroic	32c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Heroic	48c	77.78$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.33	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed OG	50c	74.1$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.05	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed Heroic	44c	62.52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked OG	75c	61$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.25	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Heroic	63c	57.14$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Heroic	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	131	57.3%75 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Heroic	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	74.1%43 W · 15 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadaf…9a4dbacked Heroic	63c	51.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3099…d252backed OG	80c	50.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	75	70.7%53 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Heroic	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked OG	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	203	39.9%81 W · 122 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x649a…61babacked Heroic	50c	49.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd340…18c8backed OG	53c	47.03$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.03	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x983d…933fbacked OG	49c	40.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.48	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked OG	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	236	40.7%96 W · 140 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Heroic	53c	37.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	72.9%43 W · 16 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed OG	54c	37.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Heroic	47c	37.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked OG	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed OG	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Heroic	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Heroic	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Heroic	49c	27.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Heroic	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed OG	50c	24.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.29	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Heroic	46c	22.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…4532backed OG	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed OG	72c	15.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market