Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60848e248ec53e2552d1d2ff62746f2dbf2b88a6428dc3c9247fc7b655a24a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 7,566$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.32 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 6,348$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex | 79c | 5,795$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…91b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 5,576$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 5,521$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.28 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d54…9277backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 3,013$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,571$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.22 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 1,540$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,067$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.86 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex | 58c | 899.46$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Yandex | 54c | 880.13$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Yandex | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 714.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Yandex | 65c | 694.73$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Yandex | 77c | 642.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 576.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.67 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Team Yandex | 54c | 513.6$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 53c | 377.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Team Yandex | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex | 55c | 336.2$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 316.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 240$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 218.06$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 191.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 146.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 125.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…74c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Yandex | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…74c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 32.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Team Yandex | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.