La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c719503e4bb2d92ba0e40d9a44d82771546546979c8c642509a09dadc04798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 61c | 20,124$12,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,245.17 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 11,118$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 39c | 3,639$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.61 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 62c | 3,013$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 60c | 2,980$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 2,336$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 39c | 1,800$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 74c | 1,758$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 37c | 777.36$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.95 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 59c | 743.57$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.94 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 665.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.92 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 654.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.26 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 38c | 215.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Over | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…872dbacked Under | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 39c | 197.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 58c | 170.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 39c | 159$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over | 63c | 158.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 61c | 143.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 40c | 136.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 40c | 127$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 39c | 98.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 36c | 83.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…d546backed Under | 43c | 63.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 57c | 54.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 36c | 50.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Under | 66c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Under | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis vs. Girona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)Girona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.