La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13dadcfe611ba7c2f3b59528b23de20dc0c36cb5909a08089539d0bb07921035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gironaof Real Betis, Girona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Girona | 59c | 5,864$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Betis | 41c | 4,213$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.45 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Girona | 61c | 1,232$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.63 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Real Betis | 43c | 864$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.41 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Real Betis | 41c | 550$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Real Betis | 40c | 339.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Real Betis | 42c | 323$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Girona | 60c | 287$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Real Betis | 41c | 240$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Real Betis | 42c | 213.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Real Betis | 35c | 127.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Real Betis | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Real Betis | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Girona | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Betis | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Girona | 59c | 82.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Real Betis | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Real Betis | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Real Betis | 43c | 57.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Girona | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked Girona | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis vs. Girona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.