TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of fnatic, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked B849c20,367$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,368.792653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed B836c17,728$6,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,332.5432425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed fnatic49c14,532$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,175.733237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed fnatic59c13,860$8,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,177.560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked B835c12,921$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,441.714219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed B854c12,648$6,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,776.7446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed fnatic43c12,562$5,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,430.3825842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed B855c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9857647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed fnatic46c7,491$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.371,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed fnatic45c6,047$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B849c6,027$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.894,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed B856c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked fnatic44c4,999$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.851,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B856c4,200$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.731,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed B857c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed fnatic51c3,633$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.0211655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked B848c3,305$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.925862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed B837c3,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.573333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked B835c2,749$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.3322754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed fnatic54c2,527$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.569037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked B87c2,523$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.4913315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked fnatic55c2,507$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.552860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bb…de25backed B854c2,485$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked fnatic44c2,456$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.072254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed fnatic44c2,156$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed B856c2,136$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.3827950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked B849c2,054$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.983557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed B857c1,874$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.881,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B861c1,864$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.591,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked B856c1,782$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.664731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed B856c1,612$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.3811428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed fnatic53c1,330$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7467…e978backed B866c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed fnatic45c1,295$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.751963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked fnatic44c1,291$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5682937.9%11 W · 18 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked B849c1,258$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.5421042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a7…83d6backed B833c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed B844c1,190$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8541850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed B856c1,173$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.7115954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed B844c1,153$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65196545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed fnatic42c1,139$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.3553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed fnatic58c1,114$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6463855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked fnatic36c1,102$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked B859c1,023$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.919043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c2…68b1backed fnatic44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked B856c1,018$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7513460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked B857c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd2…25e9backed fnatic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed B854c926.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.95756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic44c887.79$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.921,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked B810c808$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.361931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed B841c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47221846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed fnatic45c740$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked fnatic36c703.39$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2266753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed B857c699.98$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9915251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed B858c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6613461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed fnatic45c661.11$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.512545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed fnatic46c651.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5134235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed fnatic46c617.77$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3510951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed B858c615.36$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4522560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed fnatic45c604.71$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1238739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc022…8496backed B829c597$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked fnatic46c568.48$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked fnatic45c567.8$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.511,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked B850c562.49$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3518443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed B854c556.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.363865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B821c551.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed B857c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3210753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed fnatic50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505149%25 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed fnatic45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22544648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed fnatic55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2759734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed fnatic51c466.67$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23611558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed fnatic56c464.48$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9813146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked fnatic43c460.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005858.6%34 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked fnatic45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked B857c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.635550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc2…3863backed B857c434.6$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked B845c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22029235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed fnatic44c400$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x640f…f197backed B825c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004122%9 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked B855c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed B849c391.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.963158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed B847c391.71$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7138835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked B839c382.2$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.142,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic45c375$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked fnatic47c371.4$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.841,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4531…0ad7backed B857c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885048%24 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed B838c337.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.974949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed fnatic45c329.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4926743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed B863c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4633553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed fnatic59c300.54$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.322850%14 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed fnatic51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed B850c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed B855c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed fnatic54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed B868c295.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8711746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked fnatic44c291.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9418336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked fnatic37c266.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9826438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed fnatic49c264.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.55453.7%29 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.