Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe28ac605e9f1f7807bd42f9d55fa5fd1674ad0ed2008b556d168269ad952bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 10,238$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 64c | 7,768$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.38 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 7,761$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.74 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 59c | 6,735$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 6,439$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.06 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 72c | 2,737$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.36 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 34c | 1,508$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.4 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,370$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.77 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 40c | 1,360$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,237$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 42c | 1,112$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 59c | 894.46$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.47 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 63c | 881.4$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.19 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 72c | 844.76$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.54 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Over | 56c | 732.75$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 58c | 616.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 54c | 612$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.48 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 566.7$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 37c | 550.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Over | 44c | 507.52$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 42c | 499.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 47c | 427.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 70c | 420.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 45c | 307.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 58c | 299.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 30c | 269.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…3b60backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 202$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…e86bbacked Over | 20c | 178.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Under | 60c | 175.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 159.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 34c | 134.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 123.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 43c | 90.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 64.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed Over | 64c | 62.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Over | 40c | 37.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…1555backed Over | 36c | 37.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 48c | 32.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Over | 74c | 27.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 27.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 77c | 25.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 56c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.