South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91fc1ad1e9b8ea915000af0c31e5bc06d99b063dc82ec87044051625cf5106c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 41c | 13,867$5,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 19c | 9,210$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 6,723$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.57 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 60c | 2,767$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.07 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 1,302$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 58c | 938.51$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.74 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed No | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 830$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 19c | 594.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed No | 59c | 336.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 261.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 252.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 244.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 15c | 146.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 144$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 41c | 141$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 22c | 90.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 69.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 64.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 72c | 61.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 24c | 46.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Yes | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 44c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…de98backed Yes | 45c | 23.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Fortaleza EC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.