Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e7b5cba9ec2175c2e97c097914cdd994ea9f3ee27a4f70e69853c1c1851e10

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,044 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	38c	24,000$9,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,900	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	61c	19,996$12,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,200.57	277	50.9%141 W · 136 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	46c	7,500$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,449.99	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	54c	7,492$4,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,446.32	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under	46c	6,666$3,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066.36	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	46c	6,530$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,995.89	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	45c	5,579$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510.45	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Over	54c	4,625$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,125.29	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	2,599$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,258.1	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	54c	2,501$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.46	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over	45c	2,430$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,336.5	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	29c	1,968$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.89	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	54c	1,731$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.92	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	45c	1,239$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.81	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	63c	1,155$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.21	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	54c	1,131$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.5	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	45c	944$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.8	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	19c	633$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.86	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	45c	500.77$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.35	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Over	55c	454.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over	55c	454.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over	54c	442.51$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.93	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Under	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	54c	333.17$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.26	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	35c	314$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.1	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under	73c	273.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	55c	227.27$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.27	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Over	54c	220$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over	55c	118.18$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.18	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	136	56.6%77 W · 59 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	44c	99.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Under	46c	99.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	116	28.4%33 W · 83 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47d3…4255backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over	36c	82.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.64	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over	54c	79.31$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.48	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	56c	53.66$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.66	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Over	53c	42.55$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over	44c	38.66$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Under	46c	34.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4540…4fb5backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	48c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…91b8backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5this page
Brentford vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Spread: Brentford (-1.5)Brentford won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event