Premier League · resolved market
Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd5303044f91295724872da5dce34a331a1c2e4bbd8e61df063e6ad13ad101c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 12c | 19,999$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,599.05 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 77c | 1,606$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Over | 78c | 1,315$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 21c | 1,309$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 57c | 570$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 61c | 525.32$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 502.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 21c | 444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 21c | 239$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 13c | 214.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f6c1backed Over | 67c | 168.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 72c | 148$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 61c | 68.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Over | 78c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford (-1.5)Brentford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.