La Liga · resolved market
Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0668794229f581d7ab44c5e716fb01d9b42aa2e5481696fbca704101edbb3ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 9,851$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 27c | 4,120$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.02 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.89 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 67c | 1,519$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 67c | 970.15$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 33c | 443.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 67c | 363.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 347.53$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 34c | 335.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 67c | 298.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 67c | 115.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Over | 12c | 113.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 58c | 111.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d2…1facbacked Over | 68c | 91.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 59.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 50c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Mallorca (-1.5)Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.