La Liga · resolved market
Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6734373c47476cc1642bdb58249cb3932badccbe35123fae72d111b6ee6ff185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 1c | 12,342$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 21c | 9,296$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,356.89 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 4,071$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.8 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 39c | 2,678$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 41c | 1,905$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 1,356$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.35 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 1,155$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 38c | 700$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 39c | 400.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 369$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 61c | 280$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 40c | 221.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Under | 77c | 210.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 163.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ba09backed Under | 60c | 153.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 66c | 140.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 61c | 112.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 35c | 56.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 18.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 59c | 16.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 2.5this page
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Mallorca (-1.5)Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.