NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a703c73901098907dca5ddf11d3edbc55fcbd323716b661181d43d377f3e296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 84,273$38,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,671.06 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Oilers | 55c | 67,019$37,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,946.45 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 63c | 54,546$34,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,047.88 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 36,278$16,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,237.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oilers | 53c | 20,144$10,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,467.85 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Oilers | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 11,749$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.45 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 55c | 11,460$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers | 54c | 11,200$6,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.6 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oilers | 56c | 10,237$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.28 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 55c | 10,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 8,100$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 8,029$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.66 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,429$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.67 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,820$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.8 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,600$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,540$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 56c | 4,863$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.6 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 53c | 4,235$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers | 55c | 3,799$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.55 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 3,703$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.22 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Oilers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…8848backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,463$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…796ebacked Oilers | 52c | 3,450$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,185$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,096$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.2 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,777$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.42 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,914$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,887$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.84 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,879$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.7 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,811$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.32 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Oilers | 56c | 1,770$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Oilers | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,545$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.59 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,376$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.76 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Oilers | 55c | 1,291$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.91 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oilers | 55c | 1,277$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.81 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 1,273$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,144$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.92 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,049$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.73 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…bee0backed Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…14d2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Oilers | 38c | 985.19$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 960.29$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.08 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 952.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…14e6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 937$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…7720backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 925$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 909.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Oilers | 73c | 776.24$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…12e9backed Oilers | 56c | 730.36$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Oilers | 54c | 717$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maple Leafs | 3c | 712$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 711.36$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Oilers | 54c | 703.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 659.11$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 638.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 635.3$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 617.15$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 614$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.77 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Oilers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Oilers | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 594.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 582$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 512.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Oilers | 55c | 506.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 472.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 467.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Oilers | 54c | 448.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 437$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 428.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Oilers | 53c | 426$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 55c | 406$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Oilers | 52c | 381.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.82 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 367.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Oilers | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 308.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Oilers | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Oilers | 56c | 297.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Oilers | 47c | 280.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.52 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Oilers | 54c | 278$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Oilers | 54c | 277$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 273.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 272.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers | 54c | 272.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.