Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4a596440834174bf18e0bcd515714c4fe469554c80c12d6b61df323ebddfc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 49c | 2,057$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.05 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,269$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 845.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 26c | 806.72$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 569.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed No | 76c | 562.95$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 487.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 473.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 79c | 473.36$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 319.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 64c | 221.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 167.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…ae39backed Yes | 14c | 138.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 26c | 114.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 65c | 109.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 21c | 101.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 35c | 93.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 26c | 85.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 73c | 49.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Yes | 28c | 37.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 59c | 35.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 76c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 76c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.