Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7fdee713069a8954bace325583d86ad68319ff9e09defd29826e9909587b4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 32c | 19,962$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.84 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Yes | 69c | 1,632$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 1,179$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 542.13$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 64c | 264.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 191.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 145.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 63c | 94.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 71.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…4c76backed Yes | 69c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…a2febacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Albirex Niigata vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will Albirex Niigata win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.