NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Barys Astana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5967aa2ab19d9428f39e385d9fc4349996c10849cfec6e92a192e1296cce9e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barys Astanaof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Barys Astana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 1,247$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.75 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Barys Astana | 24c | 923.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.57 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Barys Astana | 23c | 656.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.55 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Barys Astana | 22c | 419.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.86 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Barys Astana | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Barys Astana | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 74c | 196.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Barys Astana | 25c | 164$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Barys Astana | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Barys Astana | 26c | 127.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Barys Astana | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Barys Astana | 25c | 93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Barys Astana | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Barys Astana | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…71d4backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 24.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…f04ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaf…8beebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.