Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6057454b26d91f69e109794e0e78ba1f4a1f464a9bf9310af8239d036b69930d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 67c | 16,858$11,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…a204backed Yes | 3c | 16,700$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 10,139$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 8,067$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed No | 16c | 1,682$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 66c | 727.27$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Yes | 64c | 713.03$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 525$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 34c | 500.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 409$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 67c | 298.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 67c | 245.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Yes | 67c | 159.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 65c | 154.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 35c | 142.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 34c | 131.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…50d5backed Yes | 66c | 119.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 28c | 115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 61c | 112.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 62c | 98.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 66c | 82.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 63c | 78.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 79c | 76.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 38c | 73.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c17…f13ebacked Yes | 67c | 63.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 46c | 54.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 44.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 40.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 65c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b80…bc0abacked Yes | 65c | 20.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.