La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e5c58d72f19b93bbba80d375ad59811dbd10d4991fb98bb72f894f8f542d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 18c | 33,800$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.98 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 24,109$18,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 17c | 5,102$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.36 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Over | 24c | 4,800$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 3,856$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 37c | 2,629$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.65 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…8e9dbacked Over | 37c | 1,365$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 75c | 1,000$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 38c | 686.84$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 475.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Under | 64c | 433.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 38c | 308.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 22c | 258.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 62c | 199.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 36c | 160.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 154.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 40c | 101.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…49aabacked Under | 64c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 38c | 52.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 35c | 50.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 73c | 42.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 62c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Under | 64c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.