La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc32684cfc52a6f5e75cbfb765736ea930adf1569bf49c3eda6d98c6af64df35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 12,488$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 36c | 7,999$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 19c | 6,374$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.51 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 5,783$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 64c | 1,077$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.47 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Over | 51c | 950$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 56c | 673.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 600.1$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 3c | 573.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 41c | 557.42$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 544.03$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.25 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 63c | 310.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 53c | 303.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 236.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 33c | 219.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 51c | 208.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 171.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 35c | 100.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 37c | 67.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Under | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…f00dbacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1696…c0d5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…187ebacked Over | 50c | 29.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…b959backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 27.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 53c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…a5b8backed Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.