NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f44f003727dee00c595563250dc6d8643108e66e48fe99e529b319d91c1505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 53c | 5,995$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.58 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 4,480$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 3,998$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.06 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 47c | 3,265$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.37 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 3,143$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.21 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,981$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 2,907$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.08 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.94 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.57 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 845$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 663.34$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Under | 54c | 370.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Under | 54c | 234.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 223.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…6adbbacked Over | 51c | 214$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…ee48backed Under | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 51c | 209.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 190.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3866…fb73backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Under | 54c | 121.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 82.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…5c68backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 51c | 57.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 57.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 40.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa892…c3acbacked Under | 51c | 35.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Under | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 77c | 33.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Under | 54c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…0046backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…9b52backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…ab30backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Rangers won
- Utah vs. RangersUtah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.