NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ffbd575c9ec0879456f659553b15ed8b5be9fdf798ea9a5f68b10b6a00fbf67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Rangers, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Rangers | 29c | 2,493$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.28 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 71c | 1,441$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 71c | 1,380$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 29c | 1,346$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah | 71c | 603$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 69c | 301.64$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Utah | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Rangers | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rangers | 26c | 121.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 76c | 105.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Rangers | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…7c59backed Utah | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Rangers | 28c | 96.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Utah | 68c | 83.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Rangers | 24c | 48.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Utah | 72c | 48.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Utah | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…07b6backed Utah | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…cea2backed Utah | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Utah | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Utah | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Utah | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Utah | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Utah | 71c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Rangers won
- Utah vs. RangersUtah won
- Utah vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.