Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64b0076b202e550b36bab0ae70756ce4d30ebf5bc77ecad59616ab85d97f35e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 76c | 10,599$8,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.23 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 4,411$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Under | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 75c | 2,064$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 54c | 1,772$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Over | 74c | 909.66$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 30c | 806.67$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 525.37$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 500.13$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 30c | 496.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 59c | 412.21$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 72c | 320.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 76c | 251.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 53c | 246$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Over | 77c | 194.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Over | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Over | 75c | 167.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 45c | 133.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 62c | 129.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 20c | 93.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…1814backed Under | 59c | 91.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 41c | 66.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 26c | 58.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 65c | 30.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 61c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…c2a6backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 68c | 20.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 75c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.