Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3bf4aa1c5ff92ca6c73bbf0acbbf83a41bad777cf66cab142b72415b9dfb797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,674$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 56c | 2,448$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 43c | 2,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.15 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 43c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.93 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 1,814$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.74 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,757$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 56c | 1,613$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,166$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.49 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 56c | 1,003$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.64 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 920.34$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 58c | 794.48$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 51c | 759$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 610.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.25 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 599.65$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 584$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.3 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Yes | 57c | 581.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 45c | 417.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 56c | 400.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 298.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 295$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 55c | 281.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…fa80backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 97.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 47c | 81.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 42c | 60.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 56c | 55.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…c174backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…4d16backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…7b80backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d70…d5f5backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…37b2backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…77ffbacked No | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…6a2fbacked No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…cc16backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…fbadbacked No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 44c | 37.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…5bfbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…dc51backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…e729backed Yes | 56c | 29.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.