Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16050d75ad815fb8e5ce109ccae4ba5081a078001ba07fc3b42543078662f0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 5,895$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 75c | 5,268$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.06 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 74c | 2,061$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.55 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 1,602$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 1,028$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 75c | 800.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.13 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 28c | 698.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 25c | 599.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 554.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…0b90backed Under | 27c | 508.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 472.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 75c | 361$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 72c | 322.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 75c | 317$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…347cbacked Under | 27c | 165.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 126.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 75c | 100.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…b730backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 75c | 69.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…2df0backed Over | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 75c | 56.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 75c | 53.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed Over | 68c | 28.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…c2a6backed Over | 80c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.