Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b53be829370641688a3cea46d7035161fa4aff648272ff0f52b6dcad21f428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 79c | 2,910$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.1 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 2,680$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 1,406$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 20c | 1,248$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,224$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 73c | 890.37$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 28c | 657$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 74c | 611.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 26c | 426.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 25c | 310.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 64c | 276.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 27c | 274.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 26c | 201.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 156.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 27c | 67.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 77c | 65.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 72c | 49.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Over | 27c | 43.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 26c | 40.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 73c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.