Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad56a0066558258531d3db9dbb2157bf38d4c9e3ab51e42d9e4e1c2995ab4d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb39e…d78abacked Yes | 53c | 2,198$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,912$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 798.48$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 55c | 729.38$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.16 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 696$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 46c | 481.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 45c | 247.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 150.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 127.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 122.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 49c | 96.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 60c | 81.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 72.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 56c | 24.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…1c91backed Yes | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 53c | 19.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.