TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Under54c207,020$111,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,636.332347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over46c58,892$27,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,527.822,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over46c54,125$24,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,125.8525752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c25,698$12,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,578.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over45c22,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c12,350$5,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,633.571,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over46c5,409$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.7133057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over49c3,452$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.4740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Under3c2,916$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.14250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Over48c2,583$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over47c2,553$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.641,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c2,404$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.3949254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under52c2,088$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.765343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over47c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.8920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c1,800$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.9930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over48c1,670$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c1,432$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.081,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c1,342$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over46c1,260$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over46c1,153$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.8129259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over46c1,138$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.8683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over46c1,033$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4935056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed Over49c1,027$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.53862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.412060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over46c993$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.0359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over49c810.2$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.27844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over46c767$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c767$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c749$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.431,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over49c620$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.22676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over46c600.42$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2329427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under6c600$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38320%0 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over48c549$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4810956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over46c545.79$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0335157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c508.9$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.452250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over46c490$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.67737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over46c425$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1337554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over46c425$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1337557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c346.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.945947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15615735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15321839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c299.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.362,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c288.05$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.424,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7116552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.332255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.330554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.326058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.327758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.332656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.336758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.328255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.332755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.338358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over46c280$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.317456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over49c271.43$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.435036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under32c263.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under51c249.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Over49c203.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.321030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over49c194.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0629343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over47c186$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5825560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdac1…5714backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over49c181.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7323435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over47c139$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff0…2e7fbacked Over50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x742d…66b0backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.047642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over50c100.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc53e…a45cbacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed Over49c99.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over46c96.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.154447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Over46c95.18$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under51c89.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.