Champions League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f461aa38d62b25178a5328e93a6e06c8e8c22ff0f0fbc72652656c92dc54af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 72c | 693.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 571.95$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 28c | 536.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 361.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 28c | 346.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 299.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 72c | 199.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 185.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 68c | 162.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 149.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…a4c9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 66.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…af5dbacked Yes | 28c | 38.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 35.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.