Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc995ffc53f238f5627c5fc5a6ec813d8b3d6b0d693a903c2f51109498124ef0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 16,124$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 72c | 3,474$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 77c | 2,196$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 8c | 1,602$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,487$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 21c | 1,186$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 1,140$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 27c | 518.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 12c | 415.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 17c | 290$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 236.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 14c | 223$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 24c | 184.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Over | 59c | 170.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Under | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c56bbacked Over | 74c | 132.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 21c | 99.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 80c | 65.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…9ffabacked Over | 71c | 63.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 21c | 63.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 17c | 59.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 80c | 55.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 73c | 54.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 77c | 52.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…655bbacked Over | 80c | 44.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d2…1facbacked Over | 69c | 41.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 70c | 28.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2990…da92backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Over | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…bb3fbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.