Premier League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87aa3fba732b6f1551db931b9bf7f5759d6305b233912583bb699360cd53db7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 68c | 19,186$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.89 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 9,514$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 34c | 5,936$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 4,049$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 77c | 2,857$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 35c | 2,443$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.85 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 32c | 2,031$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 67c | 1,868$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 14c | 1,541$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 34c | 1,468$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.25 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 16c | 1,288$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 33c | 999.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 32c | 792$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 68c | 661.76$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 648.27$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 79c | 506.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 34c | 489.41$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 80c | 465$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 34c | 343.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked Over | 36c | 320$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 71c | 316.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 16c | 177$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Over | 12c | 164.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed Under | 66c | 151.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 108.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Over | 34c | 88.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 61.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 22c | 50.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…217fbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 34c | 49.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Under | 79c | 42.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…f001backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.