TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c36,670$19,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,710.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Over52c34,480$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,480.22966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over57c25,999$14,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,158.71,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over39c15,500$6,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4553138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c12,959$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.3827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under44c10,664$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,692.2918958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c10,175$5,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.332,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c9,006$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.371,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under61c7,866$4,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.944847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c5,541$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.332,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c3,569$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over46c3,478$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.123633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c3,386$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.664,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Under5c3,100$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32012642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2905754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under57c2,960$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.540150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under43c2,898$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.9725752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed Over59c2,701$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over57c2,256$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.535625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under48c1,661$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.920239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c1,518$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over59c1,490$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.872669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under5c1,200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62320%0 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4110244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over57c999$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.575754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over42c899.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9911142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7da…cd13backed Over34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over59c813.8$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4412753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e83…6a81backed Under71c800.95$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4884528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35221656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under44c679.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.192250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.384050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under66c624.71$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over52c580$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.42676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Over58c544.83$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.836435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over56c540$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.614943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.326743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over59c510.17$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.179958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under44c500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over59c480$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.82941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over57c460$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.86642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Under57c456.14$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over55c380.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.384656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over56c356.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0210343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.57341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over57c301.75$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.754665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12937958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c299.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Over37c274.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.86837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under49c264.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.466262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb967…65edbacked Under76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c254$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over57c252.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.741163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac1…5714backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over59c217.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.229551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3317748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under43c204$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c204$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over58c191.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under43c186$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9825553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under43c185.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.191,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2c…543bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575151%26 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5710139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under43c178$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Over56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.321428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over57c173.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6710252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8877…1fa6backed Over53c158$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x408e…cacebacked Over59c157.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under45c155.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Under52c147.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.481942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under43c139$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7756158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under43c139$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7732357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under43c137$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under43c137$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.23650%18 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8117745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over58c122.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.414971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.