Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aff32032ab80af9d573737423e3034262af5a40d78bcec6b60685e5c339e030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 9,817$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 2,910$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.65 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 2,795$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.66 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…b73bbacked No | 73c | 2,736$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 2,588$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.64 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…b95cbacked No | 73c | 1,466$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…f460backed No | 73c | 1,367$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,229$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,128$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…7183backed No | 73c | 1,122$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…b8d7backed No | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 902$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 29c | 751.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 71c | 704$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 72c | 692$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…40f8backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 583.25$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…8463backed No | 73c | 552.29$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 502.59$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 18c | 404.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No | 70c | 404.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 404$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed No | 72c | 320.65$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Yes | 9c | 319.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…684fbacked Yes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 25c | 301.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 72c | 260.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 71c | 187$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 78c | 179.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 170.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…cd9abacked Yes | 15c | 164.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…0bb1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 72c | 108.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 87.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…45b8backed No | 72c | 77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 74.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 24c | 71.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…183bbacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 23.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 142 | 65.5%93 W · 49 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.