Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800b709714c5d46327a5a1a5fd5671efb5a56ccc88d7986e67596fb4913c98e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 11c | 19,999$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 1,851$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.55 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 537.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 227$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ba14backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 60.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 41.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…4c97backed Over | 77c | 13.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.