TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Lorientof RC Strasbourg Alsace, FC Lorient
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,182 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed RC Strasbourg Alsace11c628.29$71 inLost-$71.4471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace30c66.67$20 inLost-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed FC Lorient70c65.87$46 inWon+$19.769355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed RC Strasbourg Alsace30c65.87$20 inLost-$19.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed RC Strasbourg Alsace31c65$20 inLost-$20.1522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed RC Strasbourg Alsace29c64.46$19 inLost-$18.691811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed FC Lorient71c48$34 inWon+$13.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace29c36$10 inLost-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.