Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efafa603c939a0e8b1a0380d769205e8037dd8ac542371d0d298da1c88c9960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 19,903$10,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,910.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 13,988$7,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.76 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 51c | 9,551$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.96 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 7,899$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 39c | 5,925$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.47 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 4,901$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.52 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…f456backed Under | 49c | 3,873$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 2,731$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 54c | 1,765$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.52 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 7c | 1,490$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,437$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.41 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 1,400$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.8 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 1,254$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.34 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Over | 52c | 1,223$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 17c | 1,170$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 51c | 1,098$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.55 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 39c | 865.29$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 52c | 374.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 364.68$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 62c | 100.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 50c | 85.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 49c | 27.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Under | 54c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.