Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f9d8df6e0770cee99145db00ccf21fff10307c58328bbbb2ca80b537d644499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 4,118$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 77c | 3,921$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 78c | 3,900$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 3,139$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.24 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 2,057$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.54 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 22c | 1,125$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 73c | 1,013$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 22c | 598$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Over | 70c | 464.5$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Under | 31c | 403.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 23c | 369.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Over | 74c | 291.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 68c | 242.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 77c | 232.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 77c | 188.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 23c | 169.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…c261backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 77c | 134.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 77c | 131.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 21c | 100.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…b730backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 25c | 85.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 29.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 77c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Over | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…cde4backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.