Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456970c71e437b57e68881869ba66cd5bbd42336bbfa693d28f3f99b06687752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 2,157$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 31c | 1,820$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 1,307$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 1,144$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 904.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 72c | 400.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 18c | 336.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 24c | 320.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Under | 71c | 316.61$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 31c | 315.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Under | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d655backed Under | 76c | 130.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over | 47c | 100.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Over | 39c | 93.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Under | 71c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Under | 80c | 35.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…d94cbacked Under | 71c | 28.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Under | 76c | 28.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…1582backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.