Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf645472c4d0797143a801456d05d221cf083a4f9fd7dbbeedaeebefd0a7ce33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea FCof Chelsea FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Everton FC | 69c | 9,996$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,897.27 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Chelsea FC | 30c | 7,752$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.75 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Everton FC | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Everton FC | 69c | 3,786$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 3,786$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chelsea FC | 32c | 3,319$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 2,940$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.6 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC | 68c | 1,951$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 1,048$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 795.38$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.81 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 650$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 643.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Everton FC | 67c | 469.01$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Everton FC | 66c | 429$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 425.04$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…3ef7backed Everton FC | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Everton FC | 70c | 268.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Everton FC | 69c | 267.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Everton FC | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Everton FC | 65c | 206$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 160.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Everton FC | 56c | 127.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Everton FC | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…0723backed Chelsea FC | 30c | 99.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Chelsea FC | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chelsea FC | 33c | 60.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Everton FC | 70c | 50.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Chelsea FC | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Everton FC | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…7f8bbacked Chelsea FC | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Everton FC | 70c | 48.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Chelsea FC | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea FC | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Everton FC | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 40.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Everton FC | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…d234backed Chelsea FC | 31c | 33.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Everton FC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…4cd4backed Everton FC | 47c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Everton FC | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Everton FC | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed Everton FC | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.