TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over53c11,106$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.233441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997e…9f11backed Under48c7,685$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c5,192$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c4,351$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.7750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c3,856$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…e75ebacked Under48c3,670$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c3,185$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.956,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under48c2,828$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.623633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over53c2,475$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.9410244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,357$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.052,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c2,112$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.025947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c1,920$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.531,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00712649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8281,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over52c1,540$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.791662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over50c1,245$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.852,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over51c1,044$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5372050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c1,032$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.61,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under48c999.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9817544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over50c929.04$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3140150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c927.37$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.5149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c913.23$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.887844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0924047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over53c735.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.072669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under54c712.81$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.896262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under48c630$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.614943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under36c550$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3527252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c515$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26039156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under48c490.06$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8312042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Under48c488.46$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.651947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6710343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19211142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed Under48c387.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over53c385$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.058643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47c…e35dbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c343.72$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1725752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under55c323.64$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.648662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over75c323.2$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.415060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1594247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15617955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf546…de65backed Over52c259.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over53c250.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1335036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under49c226.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under56c211.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Over44c211.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a4…f169backed Over52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.252240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+54.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c188.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c160.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c155$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.91,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8450…b5a9backed Under33c101.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.891050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under49c93.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.989152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under53c85.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c81.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0174156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c80.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over43c71.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.841,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under47c70.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Over49c69.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over53c64.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.017640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb326…2260backed Over80c63.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Over50c59.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over53c54.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.956747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe04c…6740backed Over54c51.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb5…9846backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277565.3%49 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under46c49.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…973fbacked Under49c46.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under46c45.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5d…20c8backed Over52c45.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under46c44.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8719853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.620556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under48c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.282250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over54c38.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd53e…db8cbacked Over52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.