MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9eae88e9a609670a1155045c4d0014b55e6839af106a14c5388e11ad85d43c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,107,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,123,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,107,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 901,812$416,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485,182.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yankees | 54c | 256,508$138,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,514.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 53c | 236,433$126,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,222.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 54c | 172,802$93,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,455 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 53c | 87,775$46,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,909.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yankees | 54c | 31,168$16,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,830.72 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 54c | 30,000$16,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,125 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 52c | 21,312$11,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,164.31 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 52c | 21,181$11,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,005.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 32c | 20,854$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 24c | 19,017$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 49c | 7,173$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 70c | 7,055$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.28 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 58c | 7,032$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Yankees | 1c | 5,134$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 53c | 4,455$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 7c | 4,281$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.99 | 497 | 50.1%249 W · 248 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…3332backed Blue Jays | 65c | 4,171$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees | 1c | 4,020$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Blue Jays | 78c | 3,823$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.09 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 53c | 3,760$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.63 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yankees | 32c | 3,108$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 5c | 3,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Blue Jays | 63c | 2,551$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Yankees | 34c | 2,522$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.35 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Yankees | 13c | 1,698$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,621$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.59 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 3c | 1,496$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yankees | 29c | 1,380$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,356$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.6 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Yankees | 3c | 1,183$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Yankees | 32c | 1,162$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 2c | 1,125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yankees | 30c | 1,060$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.88 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yankees | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 46c | 869.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.78 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Yankees | 30c | 846.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 15c | 840.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e2ecbacked Yankees | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Yankees | 55c | 802.36$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.3 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yankees | 37c | 777$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 49c | 699.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 53c | 651.95$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 649.25$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…3e67backed Yankees | 3c | 588.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Yankees | 17c | 586.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 30c | 571.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Yankees | 48c | 562.08$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 55c | 548.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Yankees | 22c | 543.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 534.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.06 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 519$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.26 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yankees | 20c | 518.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yankees | 16c | 508.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yankees | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 482.46$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 51c | 467$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Yankees | 54c | 437.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 417.94$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 417.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yankees | 49c | 406.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Yankees | 17c | 389.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 7c | 374.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yankees | 29c | 360.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 329 | 32.2%106 W · 223 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 45c | 352.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yankees | 49c | 328.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 29c | 305.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 300.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yankees | 18c | 283.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 54c | 269$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 20c | 263.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 259$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 77c | 249.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yankees | 23c | 247.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…bd2dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 244.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 40c | 237.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Blue Jays | 51c | 233.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 13c | 231.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yankees | 44c | 227.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yankees | 53c | 224$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays | 45c | 222.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Yankees | 12c | 206.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yankees | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yankees | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 18c | 198.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 45c | 197.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.