WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36333accbf356727846d141d885375e7944e704902961913b6a721c9890baff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ab1…1975backed Over | 51c | 10,772$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…7ec6backed Over | 51c | 7,225$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 48c | 6,280$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.46 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 5,894$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.07 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 4,017$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.35 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,369$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.25 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 3,337$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.15 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 52c | 3,015$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.8 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 53c | 2,513$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 1,882$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.68 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 1,779$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.49 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 1,518$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.29 | 420 | 51.2%215 W · 205 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 52c | 1,361$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.74 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 1,354$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.89 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,099$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.56 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 1,076$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.68 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 1,001$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.89 | 526 | 52.7%277 W · 249 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 27.8%32 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 52c | 943.21$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 67c | 902.63$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 322 | 50%161 W · 161 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 48c | 866$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 809.23$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 768.47$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 484.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 416.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 416.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 51c | 410.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 392.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 186$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Under | 38c | 161.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 63c | 160.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 340 | 48.2%164 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 68c | 138$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 122.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 342 | 49.7%170 W · 172 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 49c | 116.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 91.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…abb5backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 52c | 75.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 41c | 73.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Under | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 47c | 52.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 68c | 51.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed Under | 66c | 45.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 40c | 42.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…3db7backed Over | 57c | 42.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 50c | 39.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Over | 52c | 38.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b585backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 51c | 29.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…69fdbacked Over | 53c | 28.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Over | 50c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 49c | 21.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.