WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a053e7a39a7b0e4182c72e2fa60cb176a149035305fd353687479b9f34879c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 53c | 8,062$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.61 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 3,882$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 3,789$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.27 | 486 | 46.9%228 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 3,567$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.51 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 3,186$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 53c | 2,375$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.4 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 2,270$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.58 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 2,029$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.82 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,872$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.04 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 1,507$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844 | 522 | 47.5%248 W · 274 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 506$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 53c | 424.57$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed New York Liberty | 52c | 424.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…4f02backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 403.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty | 53c | 295.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 290.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 244.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 215.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed New York Liberty | 51c | 200.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed New York Liberty | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…b44abacked New York Liberty | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed New York Liberty | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 166.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 128$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed New York Liberty | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 113.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Liberty | 50c | 111.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 111.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 106.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 809 | 48.6%393 W · 416 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed New York Liberty | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed New York Liberty | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed New York Liberty | 54c | 88.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 52c | 87.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 53c | 74.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 638 | 46.7%298 W · 340 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 66.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty | 53c | 62.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 340 | 48.2%164 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 44.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed New York Liberty | 54c | 42.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 42.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed New York Liberty | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 53c | 24.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.