WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a904c0b9480cd755b96fa6a3a7e9961648655061e54004ca06cebeefc5f50ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed New York Liberty | 48c | 41,738$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,982.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 38,884$20,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,664.25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 4,875$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.84 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 3,055$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.11 | 526 | 52.7%277 W · 249 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 46c | 2,790$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.73 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,376$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 2,008$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.62 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 1,686$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.91 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 1,660$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.8 | 522 | 47.5%248 W · 274 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 951.35$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 622 | 42%261 W · 361 L | -33.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed New York Liberty | 47c | 864$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 858.79$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.87 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 43c | 856$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 578 | 54.8%317 W · 261 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed New York Liberty | 2c | 664.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…4f02backed New York Liberty | 37c | 543.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 541.13$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Liberty | 11c | 517.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 516.28$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed New York Liberty | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 405.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty | 37c | 388.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 342 | 49.7%170 W · 172 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 324.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 47c | 286.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 249.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 322 | 50%161 W · 161 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Liberty | 48c | 246$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 240.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 47c | 235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty | 50c | 184.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Liberty | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 150.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 149.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 137.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 129.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 103.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…589ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 340 | 48.2%164 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 96.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 266 | 46.2%123 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 85.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 84.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty | 44c | 84.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 638 | 46.7%298 W · 340 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked New York Liberty | 25c | 76.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…fcf3backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 55.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 54.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 420 | 51.2%215 W · 205 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed New York Liberty | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty | 48c | 49.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 47.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…681ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 43.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 42.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed New York Liberty | 46c | 42.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked New York Liberty | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 38.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…6198backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed New York Liberty | 47c | 21.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…5219backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.