WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc21ee845d3b66378f1b9a11e3426748e35f01fb2a4069dc0069a8de6c88cab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 698$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 522 | 47.5%248 W · 274 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 61c | 544.12$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 45c | 449.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Liberty | 55c | 429$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 410$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 52c | 267.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Liberty | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 195.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 56c | 179.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty | 11c | 156.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 108.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 40c | 68.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 340 | 48.2%164 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 49.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 400 | 45.5%182 W · 218 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 725 | 45.2%328 W · 397 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…9ac7backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 40.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.