WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d6386afa0f65f2d8bdd80e3bb01633e86466b7107d3ad008f7ebeb8e065988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 5,221$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.85 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.22 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,146$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.25 | 486 | 46.9%228 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 54c | 1,101$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 293 | 58.7%172 W · 121 L | +20.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…7ec6backed Over | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 698.32$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 672.93$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 504.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.13 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 52c | 454.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 45c | 356.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 333.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 278.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 222.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 216$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 205.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 54c | 193.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 154.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 53c | 120.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 53c | 90.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 56c | 84.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 638 | 46.7%298 W · 340 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 76c | 71.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 725 | 45.2%328 W · 397 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Under | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 53c | 39.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -10.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 35.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 53c | 35.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…5e47backed Over | 33c | 35.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…852bbacked Under | 57c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 56c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 45c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 359 | 54.9%197 W · 162 L | +22.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 54c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 163.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.