La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec74fa0525faeac9418107bcc3ad60c4330fefc2d90c6bd1294056107a355b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 47c | 13,384$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 54c | 6,876$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.82 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed No | 53c | 5,005$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Yes | 44c | 2,922$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 2,525$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.96 | 1,645 | 38.6%635 W · 1,010 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,505$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.65 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 53c | 2,444$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.32 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 1,838$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.7 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 53c | 1,494$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.76 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 1,322$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.65 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 1,052$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.44 | 809 | 50.3%407 W · 402 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 220 | 22.3%49 W · 171 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 52c | 942.79$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 752.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5a9cbacked Yes | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 52c | 371.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 321.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 4,856 | 47%2,282 W · 2,574 L | -17.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 49c | 299.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 46c | 210.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 41c | 169$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 326 | 35.3%115 W · 211 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked No | 56c | 169$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 118.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 46c | 118.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 101.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 49c | 99.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 54c | 98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 50c | 80.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 70.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 45.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…258dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…8f70backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…f592backed Yes | 47c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 565 | 38.1%215 W · 350 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Yes | 55c | 38.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Yes | 47c | 35.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed No | 55c | 23.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 0.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.